Storm clouds gathering over Black Sea
The NATO Summit in Vilnius signaled that there is absolutely no possibility of talks to settle the Ukraine war in the foreseeable future. The war will only intensify, as the US and its allies still hope to inflict a military defeat on Russia although that is clearly beyond their capability
The politics of hedging and post-hedging in the Indo-Pacific
ASEAN countries are choosing their own path, which is not to choose sides between the US and China. Simply put, the Southeast Asian states want a stable geopolitical environment to focus on their economic development and do not want to be forced to “take sides” in any hegemonic rivalry
Ukraine war takes toll on UK politics
UK Defense Secretary Ben Wallace that he will be leaving the cabinet and quitting politics is much more than about himself or British politics. It is likely that US President Joe Biden’s vetoing of his candidacy for the post of the next secretary-general of the NATO played a significant part
Germany creates equity in western Ukraine
Germany is playing the long game. It is creating equity in western Ukraine where it is not Russia but Poland that is its contender as it is entirely conceivable that the ongoing war will radically change the territorial boundaries of Ukraine in the east and south
What to expect from NATO summit 2023
The NATO Vilnius summit’s decisions will reckon with the ground reality of the withering of NATO’s hopes to defeat Russia in the battlefield. Thus, it is slowly emerging that there shall not be a NATO membership for Ukraine
Russia, US exchange glances as Prigozhin heads for Moscow
The 2024 elections in Russia (in May) and the US (November) are generating comparable pressures, constraints and obligations for both leaderships
India’s discontent with SCO
In the international arena, the SCO and the BRICS are poised to be the two principal vehicles to advance the aspirations of the Global South. By clinging on to the US coattails, India is only weakening its own pretensions as the self-appointed leader of such countries
Yevgeny Prigozhin goes into exile but leaves behind a can of worms
The Wagner chief’s murky legacy gives Kremlin a compelling reason to clean the Augean stable. Whether that will happen or not, time will tell